October Inflation US - Annual
Live
- $5.7K
- $5.7K
- 59
- $1.3K
- $6.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 3.7%63.5%
- 3.9%18.5%
- 3.8%16.0%
- 4.0%11.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
12 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 12 open questions add up to 114.8¢.
- 63.5 %
3.7%
$996.34 traded, 24 h
Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢ - 18.5 %
3.9%
$512.62 traded, 24 h
Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢ - 16.0 %
3.8%
$533.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢ - 11.5 %
4.0%
$623.39 traded, 24 h
Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢ - 1.5 %
3.6%
$328.67 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢ - < 1 %
≤3.2%
$417.35 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
4.1%
$413.61 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
4.2%
$391.32 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
3.4%
$390.42 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
3.3%
$387.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Inflation
- Series
- US Annual Inflation · monthly
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 12 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 465
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 7,221 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This event has 12 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against bls.gov. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 11, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 15, 2026 11:31 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.