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World · Global elections

Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?

Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result

$13.3K
$32.5K
27
$15.0K
$1.9K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 2 questions with the highest chance now.

  • 40-4373.7%
  • 36-3923.8%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

2 open · 4 settled

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 2 open questions add up to 97.5¢.

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Event facts

Category
World · Global elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
2 open · 4 settled
Fills, last 24 h
95
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
14,724 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

This event has 6 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

4 of the 6 have already settled No.

The result is checked against electionsquebec.qc.ca. Open the source

It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 6, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 7, 2026 06:07 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.