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Tech · AI

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

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$22.3K
$487.6K
47
$159.9K
$28.1K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 2 questions with the highest chance now.

  • December 31, 202756.5%
  • December 31, 202614.5%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

2 open · 1 settled

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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Event facts

Category
Tech · AI
Structure
Each question settles on its own; several can win
Fee
Varies by question
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
2 open · 1 settled
Fills, last 24 h
70
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
44,915 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This event has 3 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

1 of the 3 have already settled No.

It can settle from Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 25, 2026 07:59 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.