Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Live
- $10.1K
- $135.7K
- 52
- $32.7K
- $257.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- John Malkovich45.3%
- Andrew Scott18.5%
- Matt Damon17.0%
- Tom Cruise10.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
22 open · 22 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 45.3 %
John Malkovich
$558.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 45.3¢No 54.7¢ - 18.5 %
Andrew Scott
$572.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢ - 17.0 %
Matt Damon
$604.39 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢ - 10.0 %
Tom Cruise
$630.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 8.5 %
Anthony Ippolito
$867.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢ - 2.6 %
Timothée Chalamet
$689.23 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢ - 2.1 %
Robert Pattinson
$640.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - 1.5 %
John Turturro
$689.83 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢ - 1.3 %
Ryan Gosling
$648.83 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.3¢No 98.7¢ - < 1 %
Jaafar Jackson
$543.56 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
- < 1 %
Jeremy Strong
$541.62 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Brad Pitt
$542.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Sam Rockwell
$383.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Sebastian Stan
$314.61 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Adam Driver
$313.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Javier Bardem
$313.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Josh O'Connor
$313.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Pedro Pascal
$313.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Robert Aramayo
$313.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Yura Borisov
$313.33 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Guy Pearce
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Mahershala Ali
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
22 more that never traded
- No quote now
Actor F
- No quote now
Actor G
- No quote now
Actor H
- No quote now
Actor I
- No quote now
Actor J
- No quote now
Actor K
- No quote now
Actor L
- No quote now
Actor M
- No quote now
Actor N
- No quote now
Actor O
- No quote now
Actor P
- No quote now
Actor Q
- No quote now
Actor R
- No quote now
Actor S
- No quote now
Actor T
- No quote now
Actor U
- No quote now
Actor V
- No quote now
Actor W
- No quote now
Actor X
- No quote now
Actor Y
- No quote now
Actor Z
- No quote now
Other
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Movies
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 22 open · 22 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 259
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 18,047 shares
- Event start
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 44 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 04:30 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.