Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations
Live
- $10.2K
- $10.2K
- 68
- $8.4K
- $30.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Julianne Moore92.0%
- Inde Navarrette86.5%
- Olivia Wilde63.5%
- Sandra Hüller53.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
26 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 92.0 %
Julianne Moore
$615.41 traded, 24 h
Yes 92.0¢No 8.0¢ - 86.5 %
Inde Navarrette
$251.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 86.5¢No 13.5¢ - 63.5 %
Olivia Wilde
$227.75 traded, 24 h
Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢ - 53.5 %
Sandra Hüller
$268.31 traded, 24 h
Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢ - 39.5 %
Virginie Efira
$37.62 traded, 24 h
Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢ - 37.0 %
Ruth Madeley
$217.88 traded, 24 h
Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢ - 30.5 %
Renate Reinsve
$87.70 traded, 24 h
Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢ - 26.1 %
Michelle Monaghan
Yes 26.1¢No 73.9¢ - 16.5 %
Rosalind Eleazar
$173.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢ - 9.8 %
Sophie Okonedo
$484.73 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.8¢No 90.2¢
- 7.5 %
Emily Blunt
$1.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢ - 7.0 %
Cynthia Erivo
$995.79 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 7.0 %
Mikey Madison
$117.76 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 6.5 %
Laura Linney
$22.97 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 5.5 %
Joan Collins
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.5 %
Lily Gladstone
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.3 %
Daisy Edgar-Jones
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 5.3¢No 94.7¢ - 4.3 %
Zendaya
$224.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 3.4 %
Anne Hathaway
$444.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.4¢No 96.6¢ - 3.4 %
Shailene Woodley
$316.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.4¢No 96.6¢ - 3.3 %
Scarlett Johansson
$574.33 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢ - 3.1 %
Penélope Cruz
$468.11 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢ - 2.8 %
Dakota Johnson
$128.28 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢ - 2.6 %
Michelle Williams
$380.39 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢ - 2.5 %
Kirsten Dunst
$721.57 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢ - 1.5 %
Natalie Portman
$278.46 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Movies
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 26 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 245
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 15,469 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 26 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Mar 15, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 15, 2026 15:10 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.