Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations
Live
- $5.6K
- $5.6K
- 56
- $4.9K
- $32.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Christopher Nolan96.0%
- Javier Calvo82.5%
- Javier Ambrossi82.0%
- Martin McDonagh67.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
29 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 96.0 %
Christopher Nolan
$453.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢ - 82.5 %
Javier Calvo
$203.43 traded, 24 h
Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢ - 82.0 %
Javier Ambrossi
$276.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢ - 67.5 %
Martin McDonagh
$271.31 traded, 24 h
Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢ - 57.0 %
Denis Villeneuve
$10.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢ - 50.0 %
Olivia Wilde
$362.37 traded, 24 h
Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢ - 28.0 %
Alejandro González Iñárritu
$41.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 28.0¢No 72.0¢ - 25.0 %
Jesse Eisenberg
$42.31 traded, 24 h
Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢ - 23.4 %
Nathan Fielder
$506.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 23.4¢No 76.6¢ - 23.0 %
Ryusuke Hamaguchi
Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢
- 21.0 %
Peter Farrelly
$3.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢ - 17.5 %
Beth de Araujo
$191.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 17.5 %
Cristian Mungiu
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 16.0 %
David Fincher
Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢ - 15.0 %
Paweł Pawlikowski
$10.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢ - 13.5 %
Mike Leigh
Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢ - 12.5 %
Christopher Miller
$253.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢ - 10.3 %
Phil Lord
$472.83 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.3¢No 89.7¢ - 9.0 %
Danny Boyle
$101.37 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢ - 7.5 %
Andrew Haigh
$129.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢ - 6.0 %
Janus Metz Pedersen
$369.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 6.0 %
Joel Coen
$178.46 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 5.5 %
Ben Affleck
$424.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.0 %
Tony Gilroy
$216.31 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 5.0 %
Aaron Sorkin
$136.19 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 4.5 %
Steven Spielberg
$323.29 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Na Hong-jin
$289.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
James Ashcroft
$325.23 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 3.0 %
Curry Barker
$12.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Movies
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 29 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 283
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 15,294 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 29 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Mar 15, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 17, 2026 02:21 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.