Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
Live
- $4.0K
- $45.8K
- 30
- $17.9K
- $23.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- NAZA94.5%
- You Can See Everything78.5%
- Once Upon a Time in Harlem73.5%
- American Doctor63.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
10 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 94.5 %
NAZA
$8.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢ - 78.5 %
You Can See Everything
$55.89 traded, 24 h
Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢ - 73.5 %
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
$16.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢ - 63.5 %
American Doctor
Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢ - 45.0 %
14th
Yes 45.0¢No 55.0¢ - 33.0 %
One in a Million
$570.96 traded, 24 h
Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢ - 32.0 %
Musk
$1.01 traded, 24 h
Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢ - 30.5 %
Nuisance Bear
$1.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢ - 21.5 %
Tutu
$606.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢ - 12.5 %
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Movies
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 10 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 82
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,406 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 10 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Mar 15, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 2, 2026 03:39 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.