Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Nominations
Live
- $8.1K
- $11.8K
- 21
- $10.0K
- $9.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Pale Sun66.0%
- Mary is Missing50.5%
- Nightfaces23.0%
- Magan's Fare22.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
10 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 66.0 %
Pale Sun
Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢ - 50.5 %
Mary is Missing
Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢ - 23.0 %
Nightfaces
Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢ - 22.5 %
Magan's Fare
$798.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢ - 21.5 %
Agapito
$57.32 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢ - 20.0 %
Spilled Milk
$571.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢ - 19.0 %
Meeting Your Maker
Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢ - 14.0 %
The Birthday Gift
$616.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢ - 5.5 %
The Man That I Wave At
$4.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.0 %
32B
$1.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Movies
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 10 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 87
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 14,486 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 10 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Mar 15, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 22, 2026 00:19 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.