Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations
Live
- $6.7K
- $12.0K
- 39
- $5.3K
- $8.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- La Nieve - The Black Ball90.5%
- This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut74.5%
- I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 567.0%
- By Any Means - By Any Means56.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 90.5 %
La Nieve - The Black Ball
$1.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢ - 74.5 %
This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut
Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢ - 67.0 %
I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 5
Yes 67.0¢No 33.0¢ - 56.5 %
By Any Means - By Any Means
Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢ - 54.5 %
How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad
$9.68 traded, 24 h
Yes 54.5¢No 45.5¢ - 52.5 %
Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 2
Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢ - 33.5 %
Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!
$9.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢ - 30.5 %
Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk
Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢ - 30.0 %
When I'm Home - The Odyssey
$126.78 traded, 24 h
Yes 30.0¢No 70.0¢ - 22.0 %
Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn
$54.71 traded, 24 h
Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Movies
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 107
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 18,904 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Song. If a song is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Song when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Mar 15, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 22, 2026 01:12 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.