Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations
Live
- $8.6K
- $31.8K
- 27
- $15.0K
- $17.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- The Black Ball96.3%
- The Odyssey85.0%
- Dune: Part Three79.0%
- Project Hail Mary70.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 96.3 %
The Black Ball
$0.02 traded, 24 h
Yes 96.3¢No 3.7¢ - 85.0 %
The Odyssey
$15.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢ - 79.0 %
Dune: Part Three
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 79.0¢No 21.0¢ - 70.5 %
Project Hail Mary
$415.59 traded, 24 h
Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢ - 64.5 %
Digger
$409.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢ - 64.5 %
Werwulf
$51.28 traded, 24 h
Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢ - 34.5 %
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
$458.55 traded, 24 h
Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢ - 19.0 %
Wuthering Heights
Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢ - 17.5 %
Backrooms
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 8.9 %
Wildwood
$0.47 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.9¢No 91.1¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Movies
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 92
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 16,110 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Production Design. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Production Design when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Mar 15, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 29, 2026 04:29 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.