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Politics · US elections

Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?

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$8.9K
$8.9K
47
$1.5K
$23.8K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 2 questions with the highest chance now.

  • ↓ 12%18.0%
  • ↓ 10%11.5%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

2 open · 2 settled

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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Event facts

Category
Politics · US elections
Structure
Each question settles on its own; several can win
Fee
4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
2 open · 2 settled
Fills, last 24 h
168
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
13,818 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Ossoff's hourly odds value in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the listed threshold (for a "↑" market) or is equal to or below the listed threshold (for a "↓" market) for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which Jon Ossoff's hourly odds value is below the listed threshold (for a "↑" market) or above the listed threshold (for a "↓" market) ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for Jon Ossoff (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Jon Ossoff in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing before January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing Jon Ossoff from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for Jon Ossoff between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, a "↑" market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Ossoff is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No", and a "↓" market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Ossoff is not the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for Jon Ossoff in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/dem-nomination-2028.html and on Jon Ossoff's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.

This event has 4 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

2 of the 4 have settled; ↑ 25%, ↑ 20% settled Yes.

It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 01:29 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.