Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $62.4K
- $112.9K
- 86
- $23.7K
- $52.4K
Questions in this event
1 open · 24 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
24 settled
- Settled No
Moonshot
$8.5K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
MiniMax
$8.4K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Baidu
$8.3K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Xiaomi
$7.6K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Tencent
$7.6K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
DeepSeek
$7.5K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
ByteDance
$7.5K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Z.ai
$1.5K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Company A
- Settled No
Company B
- Settled No
Company C
- Settled No
Company D
- Settled No
Company E
- Settled No
Company F
- Settled No
Company G
- Settled No
Company H
- Settled No
Company I
- Settled No
Company J
- Settled No
Company K
- Settled No
Company L
- Settled No
Company M
- Settled No
Meituan
- Settled No
Other
- Settled No
StepFun
Event facts
- Category
- Tech · AI
- Series
- Chinese AI #2 · monthly
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 1 open · 24 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 392
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 63,176 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
This event has 25 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
24 of the 25 have already settled No.
It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 31, 2026 16:00 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 31, 2026 18:20 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.