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Politics · US elections

Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

Live

$5.4K
$17.0K
33
$5.4K
$142.0K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Dems sweep51.0%
  • Reps sweep23.3%
  • Dems TX & MI, Reps ME11.8%
  • Reps TX & ME, Dems MI2.5%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Event facts

Category
Politics · US elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
Varies by question
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
8 open · 1 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
79
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
7,858 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

This event has 9 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 23, 2026 05:34 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.