S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 3?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $16.2K
- $16.5K
- 101
- $14.0K
- $35.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $735100.0%
- $750100.0%
- $7550.1%
- $7600.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 open · 5 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Daily Close U/O · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 6 open · 5 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 345
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 31,890 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 3?
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
5 of the 11 have settled; $740, $745 settled Yes.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It has been eligible for resolution since Nov 3, 2026 21:00 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 3, 2026 22:56 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.