S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 14?
Live
- $10.2K
- $10.5K
- 74
- $9.8K
- $15.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $77099.8%
- $75599.8%
- $76098.6%
- $76598.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
$770
$7.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 99.8¢No 0.2¢ - > 99 %
$755
$5.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.8¢No 0.2¢ - 98.6 %
$760
$4.79 traded, 24 h
Yes 98.6¢No 1.4¢ - 98.5 %
$765
$744.49 traded, 24 h
Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢ - 23.0 %
$775
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢ - 1.1 %
$780
$434.11 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - < 1 %
$785
$253.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
$795
$19.73 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
$800
$4.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
$790
$33.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Daily Close U/O · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 184
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 11,073 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 14?
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 14, 2026 20:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 14, 2026 14:43 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.