S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 23?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $11.8K
- $12.0K
- 48
- $19.8K
- $7.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $740100.0%
- $745100.0%
- $750100.0%
- $755100.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
$755
$2.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - > 99 %
$750
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - > 99 %
$740
$578.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - > 99 %
$745
$348.72 traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - < 1 %
$760
$3.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
$765
$2.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
$770
$323.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
$775
$119.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
$780
$119.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
$785
$79.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Daily Close U/O · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 232
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 21,281 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 23?
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 23, 2026 20:00 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 23, 2026 20:10 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.