S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 8?
Live
- $6.6K
- $6.8K
- 34
- $23.9K
- $51.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $75599.9%
- $76099.7%
- $75099.6%
- $76598.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
$755
$215.84 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.9¢No 0.1¢ - > 99 %
$760
$1.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 99.7¢No 0.3¢ - > 99 %
$750
$94.04 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢ - 98.1 %
$765
$3.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 98.1¢No 1.9¢ - 87.9 %
$770
$1.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 87.9¢No 12.1¢ - 45.0 %
$775
$118.11 traded, 24 h
Yes 45.0¢No 55.0¢ - 6.0 %
$780
$914.09 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 2.6 %
$785
$17.31 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢ - 1.3 %
$795
$28.69 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.3¢No 98.7¢ - 1.1 %
$800
$74.70 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Daily Close U/O · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 141
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 24,808 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 8?
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 8, 2026 20:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 8, 2026 13:05 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.