S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 9?
Live
- $5.4K
- $5.9K
- 67
- $4.9K
- $40.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $75099.8%
- $75599.8%
- $76099.7%
- $76599.7%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
$750
$138.76 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.8¢No 0.2¢ - > 99 %
$755
Yes 99.8¢No 0.2¢ - > 99 %
$765
$196.62 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.7¢No 0.3¢ - > 99 %
$760
$80.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.7¢No 0.3¢ - > 99 %
$770
$3.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 99.3¢No 0.7¢ - 93.0 %
$775
$370.63 traded, 24 h
Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢ - 5.0 %
$780
$814.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 1.1 %
$800
$119.88 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - 1.0 %
$790
$10.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢ - < 1 %
$795
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Daily Close U/O · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 168
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 7,169 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 9?
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 9, 2026 20:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 16:13 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.