Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
Live
- $9.1K
- $13.6K
- 38
- $15.5K
- $19.0K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 2 questions with the highest chance now.
- November 30100.0%
- October 3199.8%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
2 open · 1 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Series
- Trump Declassifies UFO · annual
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 2 open · 1 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 102
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 18,694 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This event has 3 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
1 of the 3 have already settled No.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 23, 2026 13:27 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.