UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase
Live
- $7.3K
- $19.3K
- 44
- $14.7K
- $28.2K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Real Madrid93.8%
- Barcelona85.0%
- Arsenal84.5%
- Paris Saint-Germain79.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
36 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 93.8 %
Real Madrid
$2.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 93.8¢No 6.2¢ - 85.0 %
Barcelona
$582.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢ - 84.5 %
Arsenal
$248.67 traded, 24 h
Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢ - 79.5 %
Paris Saint-Germain
$59.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢ - 68.0 %
Liverpool
$23.17 traded, 24 h
Yes 68.0¢No 32.0¢ - 64.0 %
Bayern Munich
$307.51 traded, 24 h
Yes 64.0¢No 36.0¢ - 57.0 %
Manchester City
$164.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢ - 34.0 %
Aston Villa
$5.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 34.0¢No 66.0¢ - 33.0 %
Atlético Madrid
$13.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢ - 31.0 %
Real Betis
$9.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 31.0¢No 69.0¢
- 26.0 %
Sporting CP
$1.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢ - 22.0 %
Manchester United
Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢ - 21.5 %
VfB Stuttgart
$192.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢ - 20.5 %
Inter Milan
$250.11 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢ - 18.0 %
Borussia Dortmund
$14.66 traded, 24 h
Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢ - 14.5 %
Villarreal
Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢ - 14.0 %
Como
$6.30 traded, 24 h
Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢ - 14.0 %
RB Leipzig
Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢ - 11.0 %
Roma
Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢ - 8.4 %
Club Brugge
$476.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.4¢No 91.6¢ - 8.0 %
Lens
Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢ - 8.0 %
Porto
Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢ - 7.0 %
Napoli
$135.71 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 7.0 %
Fenerbahçe
$94.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 6.0 %
Feyenoord
$19.74 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 5.0 %
PSV Eindhoven
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 4.5 %
Bodø/Glimt
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 3.9 %
Lille
$7.79 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.9¢No 96.1¢ - 3.8 %
Shakhtar Donetsk
$94.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢ - 3.3 %
Slovan Bratislava
$24.81 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢ - 2.9 %
Sabah
Yes 2.9¢No 97.1¢ - 2.9 %
LASK
$81.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.9¢No 97.1¢ - 2.5 %
Slavia Prague
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢ - 2.3 %
AEK Athens
$220.48 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢ - 1.6 %
Galatasaray
$137.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢ - 1.1 %
Viking
$118.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Soccer
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 36 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 197
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 11,483 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 36 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Feb 28, 2027 23:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 15, 2026 03:10 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.