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Sports · Soccer

UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group B4 Winner

Live

$34.10
$19.9K
5
$9.2K
$3.2K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 2 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Sweden76.0%
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina18.9%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

2 open · 2 settled · 3 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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Event facts

Category
Sports · Soccer
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
2 open · 2 settled · 3 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
5
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
51 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B4 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This event has 7 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

2 of the 7 have already settled No.

It can settle from Dec 2, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 8, 2026 04:58 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.