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Finance · Economygdp quarterly

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Settled

$60.9K
7
$40.6K
$53.4K

Event facts

Category
Finance · Economy
Series
gdp quarterly · monthly
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
No trading fee
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
7 settled
Fills, last 24 h
184
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
30,285 shares
  1. Event start
  2. Created
  3. First trade

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution. If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.

This event has 7 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

7 of the 7 have settled; ≥3.0% settled Yes.

Volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.