What price will Bitcoin hit on October 6?
Live
- $24.0K
- $24.0K
- 224
- $88.1K
- $168.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- ↑ 87,00032.0%
- ↓ 85,00029.5%
- ↓ 84,0009.0%
- ↑ 88,0007.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
15 open · 1 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 32.0 %
↑ 87,000
$1.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢ - 29.5 %
↓ 85,000
$3.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢ - 9.0 %
↓ 84,000
$3.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢ - 7.0 %
↑ 88,000
$4.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 2.6 %
↑ 89,000
$2.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢ - 2.1 %
↓ 83,000
$4.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - 1.2 %
↓ 82,000
$481.41 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.2¢No 98.8¢ - 1.0 %
↑ 90,000
$91.09 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢ - < 1 %
↑ 91,000
$22.88 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢ - < 1 %
↓ 81,000
$50.29 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢
Event facts
- Category
- Crypto · Bitcoin
- Series
- Bitcoin Hit Price Daily · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 7% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 20% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 10 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 15 open · 1 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 654
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 103,020 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 6?
This event has 16 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
1 of the 16 have settled; ↑ 86,000 settled Yes.
It can settle from Oct 7, 2026 04:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 6, 2026 13:19 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.