What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?
Live
- $5.6K
- $5.9K
- 12
- $3.5K
- $1.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Safe / Safer / Safety30.6%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence7.5%
- Health7.5%
- Economy / Economic0.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 open · 9 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 30.6 %
Safe / Safer / Safety
$158.44 traded, 24 h
Yes 30.6¢No 69.4¢ - 7.5 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$125.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢ - 7.5 %
Health
$75.76 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢ - < 1 %
Economy / Economic
$610.62 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Heat / Weather
$545.53 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Budget
$349.49 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
9 settled
- Settled Yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
$1.4K traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Community
$419.02 traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Family
$342.39 traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
School
$314.01 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
NYPD
$334.42 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
-No Qualifying Event-
$291.12 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Trump / President
$220.37 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Grocery
$214.12 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Billionaire
$199.55 traded, 24 h
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture
- Series
- Mamdani Announcement Mentions
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 6 open · 9 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 74
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 5,877 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such announcement happens by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the first livestream where Zohran Mamdani speaks after market creation from the NYC Mayor's Office (https://www.youtube.com/@NYCMayorsOffice). Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani speaks will qualify. Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani does not speak will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant announcement. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 15 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
9 of the 15 have settled; Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Community, Family, School settled Yes.
It can settle from Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 7, 2026 11:23 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.