What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?
Live
- $13.2K
- $13.3K
- 138
- $18.8K
- $34.3K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Healthcare96.7%
- Pipeline96.2%
- Save America Act94.5%
- Fish / Fishing / Fisherman91.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
24 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 96.7 %
Healthcare
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 96.7¢No 3.3¢ - 96.2 %
Pipeline
$2.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 96.2¢No 3.8¢ - 94.5 %
Save America Act
$96.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢ - 91.5 %
Fish / Fishing / Fisherman
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢ - 87.0 %
Russia / Ukraine
$225.34 traded, 24 h
Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢ - 75.0 %
ICE
$14.37 traded, 24 h
Yes 75.0¢No 25.0¢ - 70.0 %
Oil / Gas / Gasoline 15+ times
$361.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢ - 67.5 %
Japan
$670.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢ - 66.0 %
California
$88.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢ - 61.5 %
Joe / Biden 10+ times
$199.63 traded, 24 h
Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢
- 59.5 %
Iran 5+ times
$528.48 traded, 24 h
Yes 59.5¢No 40.5¢ - 58.0 %
Hormuz
$767.75 traded, 24 h
Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢ - 53.0 %
Spoiler
$828.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢ - 45.5 %
Reagan
$441.11 traded, 24 h
Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢ - 40.0 %
Transgender 5+ times
$208.91 traded, 24 h
Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢ - 39.5 %
America First
$275.52 traded, 24 h
Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢ - 38.5 %
Mask
$425.78 traded, 24 h
Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢ - 36.0 %
Israel / Israeli
$260.89 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.0¢No 64.0¢ - 34.5 %
Hell 15+ times
$425.02 traded, 24 h
Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢ - 24.0 %
SI / Super Intelligence 3+ times
$352.56 traded, 24 h
Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢ - 22.5 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$280.02 traded, 24 h
Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢ - 12.5 %
Ceasefire
$2.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢ - 2.8 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$29.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢ - < 1 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$252.61 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 24 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 556
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 23,283 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Wasilla, Alaska on October 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-wasilla-alaska-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Alaska on October 13, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 24 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 13, 2026 23:35 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 13, 2026 18:38 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.