What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?
Live
- $5.5K
- $5.5K
- 68
- $7.8K
- $21.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Democrat 5+ times96.0%
- Russia / Ukraine79.5%
- Crime / Criminal 5+ times78.5%
- Transgender 5+ times76.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
24 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 96.0 %
Democrat 5+ times
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢ - 79.5 %
Russia / Ukraine
$159.93 traded, 24 h
Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢ - 78.5 %
Crime / Criminal 5+ times
Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢ - 76.0 %
Transgender 5+ times
$153.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 76.0¢No 24.0¢ - 75.5 %
Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times
Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢ - 75.0 %
Space / Moon
$22.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 75.0¢No 25.0¢ - 72.0 %
Hormuz / Blockade
$354.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢ - 72.0 %
Mar-a-Lago / Golf
$15.83 traded, 24 h
Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢ - 70.0 %
Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times
Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢ - 67.5 %
Iran 5+ times
$240.32 traded, 24 h
Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢
- 61.0 %
Fish / Fisher / Fishing
$60.91 traded, 24 h
Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢ - 59.5 %
SI / Super Intelligence
$109.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 59.5¢No 40.5¢ - 57.0 %
Hell 15+ times
$240.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢ - 53.0 %
Veteran
$40.25 traded, 24 h
Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢ - 51.0 %
Tariff 6+ times
$44.83 traded, 24 h
Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢ - 47.5 %
Ass
$212.28 traded, 24 h
Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢ - 32.0 %
Jacksonville
$6.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢ - 28.5 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$938.25 traded, 24 h
Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢ - 27.5 %
Data Center
$267.17 traded, 24 h
Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢ - 25.5 %
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$87.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢ - 22.5 %
Drill Baby Drill
$303.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢ - 13.5 %
Filibuster
$107.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢ - 3.0 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$61.39 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢ - 2.1 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$745.56 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 24 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 189
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,692 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida on October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-fort-myers-fl-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Florida on October 23, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 24 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 23, 2026 18:05 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 23, 2026 05:35 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.