What will Trump say during his Midterm rally in Florida?
Live
- $8.0K
- $9.4K
- 117
- $13.3K
- $24.2K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Hormuz / Blockade85.0%
- Made in America / American Made80.0%
- Crazy 7+ times77.0%
- Two Percent / 2%70.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
22 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 85.0 %
Hormuz / Blockade
$337.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢ - 80.0 %
Made in America / American Made
$643.25 traded, 24 h
Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢ - 77.0 %
Crazy 7+ times
$800.79 traded, 24 h
Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢ - 70.0 %
Two Percent / 2%
$326.47 traded, 24 h
Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢ - 59.0 %
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times
$130.27 traded, 24 h
Yes 59.0¢No 41.0¢ - 56.0 %
Communist / Socialist 5+ times
$66.84 traded, 24 h
Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢ - 51.5 %
Terrorist / Terrorism
$99.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢ - 50.5 %
Obama / Kamala / Biden 12+ times
$59.59 traded, 24 h
Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢ - 46.5 %
Russia / Ukraine
$2.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢ - 46.1 %
-No Qualifying Event-
Yes 46.1¢No 53.9¢
- 42.0 %
Transgender 7+ times
$227.97 traded, 24 h
Yes 42.0¢No 58.0¢ - 39.0 %
Hell 15+ times
$380.29 traded, 24 h
Yes 39.0¢No 61.0¢ - 37.5 %
Beautiful 20+ times
$226.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢ - 36.5 %
SI / Super Intelligence
$622.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 36.5 %
Ass
$93.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 34.5 %
Grass
$130.33 traded, 24 h
Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢ - 27.0 %
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$93.46 traded, 24 h
Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢ - 26.0 %
Brazil
$65.51 traded, 24 h
Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢ - 21.5 %
Affordable / Affordability
$215.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢ - 17.0 %
Data Center
$128.27 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢ - 13.5 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$502.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢ - 2.6 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$828.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 22 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 389
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 17,018 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Daytona Beach, Florida on October 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-daytona-florida-with-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Florida on October 30, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 22 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 30, 2026 23:05 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026 19:28 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.