What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
Live
- $7.7K
- $7.7K
- 101
- $14.9K
- $29.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Clay89.5%
- Pee-wee / Peewee80.0%
- Laken Riley Act79.0%
- Tax 25+ times76.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
21 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 89.5 %
Clay
$565.39 traded, 24 h
Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢ - 80.0 %
Pee-wee / Peewee
$214.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢ - 79.0 %
Laken Riley Act
$544.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 79.0¢No 21.0¢ - 76.0 %
Tax 25+ times
$128.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 76.0¢No 24.0¢ - 70.5 %
Tariff 6+ times
$225.27 traded, 24 h
Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢ - 64.5 %
Transgender 5+ times
$304.59 traded, 24 h
Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢ - 63.0 %
Russia / Ukraine
$376.57 traded, 24 h
Yes 63.0¢No 37.0¢ - 62.5 %
SI / Super Intelligence
$932.61 traded, 24 h
Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢ - 59.5 %
Hormuz / Blockade
$346.68 traded, 24 h
Yes 59.5¢No 40.5¢ - 54.0 %
Ass
$637.74 traded, 24 h
Yes 54.0¢No 46.0¢
- 50.0 %
Hell 14+ times
$749.46 traded, 24 h
Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢ - 44.5 %
Star
$65.43 traded, 24 h
Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢ - 34.5 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$533.17 traded, 24 h
Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢ - 30.5 %
University
$121.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢ - 29.5 %
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$307.66 traded, 24 h
Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢ - 20.5 %
America First
$236.96 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢ - 15.5 %
Peach / Pecan
$202.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢ - 9.0 %
Trump Account / TrumpRX
$398.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢ - 3.5 %
Ceasefire
$433.69 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.1 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$146.78 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢ - 3.0 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$242.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 21 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 319
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 17,624 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Dalton, Georgia on October 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-dalton-georgia-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Georgia on October 16, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 21 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 16, 2026 19:05 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 15, 2026 19:37 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.