What will Trump say during his Midterm rally in Iowa?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $19.3K
- $21.9K
- 136
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- $1.4K
Questions in this event
1 open · 20 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
20 settled
- Settled Yes
Russia / Ukraine
$4.0K traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Maduro
$2.2K traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Alaska
$2.0K traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Ass
$1.8K traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Illinois
$1.7K traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Crazy 7+ times
$1.2K traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Hell 15+ times
$769.19 traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Tariff 5+ times
$261.33 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Tax 32+ times
$886.13 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Transgender 7+ times
$717.84 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$406.86 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Data Center
$355.36 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Daylight Saving
$335.38 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$223.01 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
MIT
$200.70 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
SI / Super Intelligence
$193.13 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Hormuz / Blockade
$174.05 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$151.66 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Electricity / Chip
$126.53 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Brazil
$59.20 traded, 24 h
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 1 open · 20 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 399
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 30,076 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Dubuque, Iowa on November 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-dubuque-iowa-president-donald-j-trump-djt47-ia) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Iowa on November 1, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 21 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
20 of the 21 have settled; Russia / Ukraine, Maduro, Alaska, Ass, Illinois, Crazy 7+ times, Hell 15+ times, Tariff 5+ times settled Yes.
It has been eligible for resolution since Nov 1, 2026 21:05 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 2, 2026 02:37 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.