What will Trump say during his Midterm rally in Kansas?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $13.0K
- $14.1K
- 103
- $10.5K
- $19.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times99.6%
- Hell 15+ times99.5%
- Job 15+ times99.5%
- Transgender 7+ times0.6%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
18 open · 4 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times
$179.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢ - > 99 %
Hell 15+ times
$490.09 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - > 99 %
Job 15+ times
$128.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - < 1 %
Transgender 7+ times
$912.52 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢ - < 1 %
Brazil
$303.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Halloween
$129.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Data Center
$126.74 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Pardon / Pardoned
$50.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Daylight Saving
$43.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢
- < 1 %
Tax 32+ times
$858.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$354.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
SI / Super Intelligence
$292.44 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Travel Ban
$194.74 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Shit
$119.76 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Ass
$55.12 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Cancel
$33.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$151.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 18 open · 4 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 316
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 14,111 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Salina, Kansas on November 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-ks-president-donald-j-trump-djt47-salina-ks) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Kansas on November 1, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 22 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
4 of the 22 have settled; Russia / Ukraine, Boeing, Hormuz / Blockade, Bombardier settled Yes.
It has been eligible for resolution since Nov 2, 2026 01:05 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 2, 2026 05:23 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.