What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $24.2K
- $29.5K
- 175
- $28.5K
- $10.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 3 questions with the highest chance now.
- Fentanyl / Deport / Deported0.5%
- Russia / Ukraine0.5%
- Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
3 open · 19 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- < 1 %
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$866.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Russia / Ukraine
$426.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
19 settled
- Settled Yes
Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times
$2.0K traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
SI / Super Intelligence
$1.3K traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Gay / Palestine
$987.44 traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Regulation / Regulatory
$971.00 traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Transgender 5+ times
$853.27 traded, 24 h
- Settled Yes
Star
$234.14 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Tax 33+ times
$4.6K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Drag Show
$1.8K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Ass
$1.8K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Hell 15+ times
$1.7K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$1.2K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Data Center / Electric / Electricity
$1.1K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Hormuz / Blockade
$690.97 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Animal
$658.59 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Bull / Bullshit
$608.48 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
America First / Gulf of America
$382.25 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Maduro
$344.52 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
-No Qualifying Event-
$273.23 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Fertilizer / Rural
$241.27 traded, 24 h
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 3 open · 19 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 655
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 42,868 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Park City, Kansas on October 19, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-park-city-kansas-president-donald-j-trump-ks) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Kansas on October 19, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 22 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
19 of the 22 have settled; Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times, SI / Super Intelligence, Gay / Palestine, Regulation / Regulatory, Transgender 5+ times, Star settled Yes.
It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 19, 2026 23:05 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 20, 2026 03:59 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.