What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?
Live
- $6.1K
- $6.1K
- 64
- $8.2K
- $15.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Massie / Rand87.5%
- Transgender 5+ times81.0%
- Data Center / Electric / Electricity74.5%
- SI / Super Intelligence74.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
20 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 87.5 %
Massie / Rand
$102.47 traded, 24 h
Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢ - 81.0 %
Transgender 5+ times
$58.28 traded, 24 h
Yes 81.0¢No 19.0¢ - 74.5 %
SI / Super Intelligence
$339.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢ - 74.5 %
Data Center / Electric / Electricity
$114.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢ - 72.0 %
Hormuz / Blockade
$164.61 traded, 24 h
Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢ - 70.0 %
Russia / Ukraine
$273.18 traded, 24 h
Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢ - 61.0 %
Truck
$134.89 traded, 24 h
Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢ - 58.5 %
Ass
$315.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢ - 58.0 %
Nuclear 5+ times
$50.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢ - 56.5 %
Hell 15+ times
$285.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢
- 53.5 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$970.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢ - 40.0 %
Whiskey / Bourbon
$41.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢ - 39.5 %
America First / Gulf of America
$12.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢ - 36.5 %
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$74.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 30.0 %
Bull / Bullshit
$95.84 traded, 24 h
Yes 30.0¢No 70.0¢ - 30.0 %
Maduro
$11.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 30.0¢No 70.0¢ - 27.5 %
KFC / Chicken
$6.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢ - 20.5 %
Gay / Palestine
$38.86 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢ - 2.8 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$2.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢ - < 1 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$235.58 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 20 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 173
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,727 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky on October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-highland-heights-kentucky-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Kentucky on October 17, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 20 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 17, 2026 18:05 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 16, 2026 23:40 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.