What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $14.2K
- $17.3K
- 147
- $26.6K
- $5.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Maduro99.5%
- Russia / Ukraine96.0%
- Electric / Electricity96.0%
- Ass89.3%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
20 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
Maduro
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - 96.0 %
Russia / Ukraine
$1.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢ - 96.0 %
Electric / Electricity
$443.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢ - 89.3 %
Ass
$561.17 traded, 24 h
Yes 89.3¢No 10.7¢ - 88.0 %
Osama Bin Laden
$985.34 traded, 24 h
Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢ - 77.5 %
Hormuz / Blockade
$635.09 traded, 24 h
Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢ - 57.0 %
SI / Super Intelligence
$534.81 traded, 24 h
Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢ - 54.5 %
Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times
$909.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 54.5¢No 45.5¢ - 49.5 %
Palestine / Palestinian
$84.91 traded, 24 h
Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢ - 38.5 %
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$50.42 traded, 24 h
Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢
- 37.0 %
Data Center
$19.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢ - 29.0 %
China / Chinese 7+ times
$974.42 traded, 24 h
Yes 29.0¢No 71.0¢ - 26.0 %
Hell 15+ times
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢ - 23.5 %
Transgender 7+ times
$535.47 traded, 24 h
Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢ - 19.5 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$2.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢ - 19.5 %
Canada 4+ times
$292.48 traded, 24 h
Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢ - 12.0 %
Marxist
$665.37 traded, 24 h
Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢ - 4.2 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$413.56 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.2¢No 95.8¢ - 4.0 %
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times
$486.30 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 2.5 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$251.44 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 20 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 621
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 30,031 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in St. Clair, Michigan on October 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-st-clair-mi-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Michigan on October 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 20 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against youtube.com. Open the source
It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 25, 2026 19:05 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 25, 2026 21:03 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.