What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in New York?
Live
- $4.7K
- $4.7K
- 80
- $8.2K
- $15.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 177688.5%
- Depression87.0%
- SI / Super Intelligence 2+ times75.5%
- Micron74.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
17 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 88.5 %
1776
$94.86 traded, 24 h
Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢ - 87.0 %
Depression
$455.62 traded, 24 h
Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢ - 75.5 %
SI / Super Intelligence 2+ times
$225.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢ - 74.5 %
Micron
$76.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢ - 74.0 %
Zohran/Mamdani
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢ - 69.5 %
Union
$12.58 traded, 24 h
Yes 69.5¢No 30.5¢ - 67.5 %
Crime / Criminal 10+ times
$140.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢ - 61.0 %
AOC
$205.71 traded, 24 h
Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢ - 59.0 %
Electricity / Electric
$64.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 59.0¢No 41.0¢ - 53.0 %
Buffalo
$183.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢
- 51.5 %
Clay
$152.11 traded, 24 h
Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢ - 43.5 %
Pipeline
$221.29 traded, 24 h
Yes 43.5¢No 56.5¢ - 29.5 %
Gulf of America
$750.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢ - 27.0 %
Data Center
$475.91 traded, 24 h
Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢ - 7.5 %
Six Seven
$32.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢ - 2.7 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$29.88 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.7¢No 97.3¢ - < 1 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$480.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 17 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 234
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,758 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York on October 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-syracuse-ny-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in New York on October 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 17 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 9, 2026 23:05 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 02:12 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.