What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
Live
- $12.5K
- $12.6K
- 165
- $24.4K
- $23.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- America First91.5%
- Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times81.0%
- Ass77.0%
- Hormuz / Blockade68.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
20 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 91.5 %
America First
$1.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢ - 81.0 %
Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times
$259.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 81.0¢No 19.0¢ - 77.0 %
Ass
$1.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢ - 68.5 %
Hormuz / Blockade
$752.28 traded, 24 h
Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢ - 62.0 %
Russia / Ukraine
$781.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢ - 61.5 %
Data Center
$1.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢ - 57.5 %
Liar
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢ - 50.0 %
Cleveland
$85.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢ - 48.0 %
Hell 15+ times
$413.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢ - 46.0 %
SI / Super Intelligence
$621.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 46.0¢No 54.0¢
- 41.0 %
Job 20+ times
$21.12 traded, 24 h
Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢ - 39.5 %
Transgender 7+ times
$590.33 traded, 24 h
Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢ - 39.5 %
Biden / Obama / Kamala 15+ times
$331.82 traded, 24 h
Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢ - 36.5 %
Climate Change
$33.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 34.0 %
Drug 10+ times
$10.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 34.0¢No 66.0¢ - 29.5 %
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$59.31 traded, 24 h
Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢ - 17.0 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$1.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢ - 5.0 %
Lake America 7+ times
$167.67 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 2.8 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$394.58 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢ - 1.8 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$64.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 20 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 455
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 27,596 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Chillicothe, Ohio on October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-chillicothe-ohio-with-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Ohio on October 28, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 20 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 28, 2026 23:05 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 28, 2026 05:32 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.