What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
Live
- $7.5K
- $7.5K
- 111
- $17.0K
- $35.2K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Tax 20+ times75.5%
- Russia / Ukraine67.0%
- SI / Super Intelligence65.5%
- Crime / Criminal 12+ times63.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
23 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 75.5 %
Tax 20+ times
Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢ - 67.0 %
Russia / Ukraine
$1.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 67.0¢No 33.0¢ - 65.5 %
SI / Super Intelligence
$571.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢ - 63.5 %
Crime / Criminal 12+ times
$94.96 traded, 24 h
Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢ - 61.0 %
Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times
$390.66 traded, 24 h
Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢ - 59.0 %
Aluminum / Steel
$389.35 traded, 24 h
Yes 59.0¢No 41.0¢ - 57.5 %
Ass
$228.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢ - 55.5 %
Border 20+ times
$444.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢ - 55.5 %
Iran 5+ times
$356.72 traded, 24 h
Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢ - 51.5 %
Star
$173.58 traded, 24 h
Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢
- 48.0 %
America First / Gulf of America
$244.73 traded, 24 h
Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢ - 47.0 %
Transgender 7+ times
$216.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 47.0¢No 53.0¢ - 44.5 %
Hormuz / Blockade
$410.32 traded, 24 h
Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢ - 44.5 %
Hell 15+ times
$139.67 traded, 24 h
Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢ - 34.5 %
Gay
$69.49 traded, 24 h
Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢ - 32.5 %
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$38.28 traded, 24 h
Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢ - 25.0 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$719.34 traded, 24 h
Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢ - 20.5 %
Drill Baby Drill
$452.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢ - 20.5 %
Milk
$105.38 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢ - 18.5 %
Data Center
$190.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢ - 17.0 %
Filibuster
$174.66 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢ - 3.5 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$88.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - < 1 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$335.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 23 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 335
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 19,027 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Clemson, South Carolina on October 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-clemson-sc-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in South Carolina on October 21, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 23 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 21, 2026 23:05 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 17:22 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.