What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
Live
- $8.9K
- $9.5K
- 100
- $16.9K
- $20.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- America First95.5%
- Hormuz / Blockade77.0%
- Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times68.0%
- Transgender 7+ times59.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
16 open · 1 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 95.5 %
America First
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢ - 77.0 %
Hormuz / Blockade
$797.86 traded, 24 h
Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢ - 68.0 %
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times
$310.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 68.0¢No 32.0¢ - 59.0 %
Transgender 7+ times
$2.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 59.0¢No 41.0¢ - 49.5 %
Russia / Ukraine
$958.52 traded, 24 h
Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢ - 45.0 %
Ass
$55.18 traded, 24 h
Yes 45.0¢No 55.0¢ - 42.0 %
Biden / Obama / Kamala 15+ times
$5.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 42.0¢No 58.0¢ - 41.0 %
Hell 15+ times
$264.31 traded, 24 h
Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢ - 37.0 %
SI / Super Intelligence
$61.41 traded, 24 h
Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢ - 36.0 %
Job 20+ times
$73.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.0¢No 64.0¢
- 20.0 %
Strategic / Strategy
$237.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢ - 20.0 %
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
$112.12 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢ - 19.5 %
Data Center
$1.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢ - 17.5 %
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$656.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 5.0 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$85.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - < 1 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$4.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢
1 more that never traded
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 16 open · 1 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 276
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 19,503 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Rock Hill, South Carolina on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-south-carolina-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in South Carolina on October 29, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 17 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 29, 2026 16:35 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 29, 2026 04:10 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.