What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $8.7K
- $9.6K
- 117
- $15.2K
- $8.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Transgender95.7%
- Depression91.5%
- Handsome72.5%
- Hell 10+ times68.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
19 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 95.7 %
Transgender
$215.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 95.7¢No 4.3¢ - 91.5 %
Depression
$672.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢ - 72.5 %
Handsome
$132.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢ - 68.0 %
Hell 10+ times
$261.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 68.0¢No 32.0¢ - 66.5 %
Korea
$565.66 traded, 24 h
Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢ - 59.5 %
Job 17+ times
$520.88 traded, 24 h
Yes 59.5¢No 40.5¢ - 49.5 %
Cadillac
$259.12 traded, 24 h
Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢ - 48.5 %
Gay
$546.79 traded, 24 h
Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢ - 48.0 %
Nuclear 4+ times
$946.97 traded, 24 h
Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢ - 47.0 %
Helicopter
$248.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 47.0¢No 53.0¢
- 36.5 %
Alabama
$738.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 36.5 %
Rare Earth / Mineral
$186.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 30.0 %
Data Center
$146.61 traded, 24 h
Yes 30.0¢No 70.0¢ - 25.5 %
Gulf of America
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢ - 16.5 %
Drill Baby Drill
$132.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢ - 14.5 %
SI / Super Intelligence 5+ times
$834.58 traded, 24 h
Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢ - 10.5 %
Clay
$152.76 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢ - 3.6 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$428.55 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.6¢No 96.4¢ - 3.6 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$310.08 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.6¢No 96.4¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 19 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 335
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 19,433 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Clarksville, Tennessee on October 10, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-clarksville-tennessee-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Tennessee on October 10, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 19 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 10, 2026 19:35 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 10, 2026 20:10 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.