What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?
Live
- $5.1K
- $6.2K
- 74
- $9.8K
- $16.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Venezuela89.5%
- 177689.0%
- Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times86.5%
- Mental Institution79.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
21 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 89.5 %
Venezuela
$544.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢ - 89.0 %
1776
$128.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢ - 86.5 %
Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times
$224.48 traded, 24 h
Yes 86.5¢No 13.5¢ - 79.0 %
Mental Institution
$165.27 traded, 24 h
Yes 79.0¢No 21.0¢ - 77.0 %
Border 15+ times
$75.38 traded, 24 h
Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢ - 76.5 %
Made in America / American Made
$69.48 traded, 24 h
Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢ - 71.5 %
Hell 10+ times
$50.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 71.5¢No 28.5¢ - 70.0 %
Toyota
$185.88 traded, 24 h
Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢ - 66.0 %
SI / Super Intelligence 2+ times
$94.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢ - 60.5 %
Gulf of America
$238.04 traded, 24 h
Yes 60.5¢No 39.5¢
- 56.0 %
Data Center
$229.01 traded, 24 h
Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢ - 49.5 %
Cartel
$146.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢ - 48.5 %
Job 20+ times
$544.35 traded, 24 h
Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢ - 45.5 %
Alamo
$55.08 traded, 24 h
Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢ - 38.5 %
Fascism
$270.44 traded, 24 h
Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢ - 22.0 %
Shut Up
$92.57 traded, 24 h
Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢ - 16.5 %
Beat Meat
$230.32 traded, 24 h
Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢ - 9.5 %
Rigged Election
$182.08 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢ - 7.5 %
Six Seven
$74.63 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢ - 2.1 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$1.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - < 1 %
-No Qualifying Event-
$35.52 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 21 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 264
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 11,619 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in San Antonio, Texas on October 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-san-antonio-texas-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Texas on October 7, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 21 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 7, 2026 23:05 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 7, 2026 03:26 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.