What will Trump say during his remarks at Anduril Industries?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $10.7K
- $10.7K
- 125
- $12.4K
- $37.3K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Drone100.0%
- Moon / Space100.0%
- Palmer / Luckey100.0%
- Sub / Submarine100.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
18 open · 2 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
Drone
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - > 99 %
Moon / Space
$751.47 traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - > 99 %
Sub / Submarine
$639.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - > 99 %
Palmer / Luckey
$531.73 traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - > 99 %
Tomahawk
$287.41 traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - 92.0 %
Hell 3+ times
$573.76 traded, 24 h
Yes 92.0¢No 8.0¢ - 36.5 %
Nuclear 3+ times
$325.44 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 24.4 %
National Security
$963.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 24.4¢No 75.6¢ - 22.5 %
Made in America / American Made
$523.71 traded, 24 h
Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢ - 17.4 %
Shit / Ass
$139.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.4¢No 82.6¢
- 14.9 %
Robot / Robotics
$40.28 traded, 24 h
Yes 14.9¢No 85.1¢ - 12.4 %
Wind / Scam
$176.33 traded, 24 h
Yes 12.4¢No 87.6¢ - 12.4 %
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$66.37 traded, 24 h
Yes 12.4¢No 87.6¢ - 11.2 %
Hyundai
$50.74 traded, 24 h
Yes 11.2¢No 88.8¢ - 5.0 %
Biden 5+ times
$319.56 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - < 1 %
Discombobulator / Discombobulated
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Merit
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Fury
$765.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 18 open · 2 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 422
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 17,520 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at Anduril Industries on October 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at Anduril Industries on October 6, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 20 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
2 of the 20 have settled; SI / Super Intelligence settled Yes.
It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 6, 2026 20:05 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 6, 2026 22:21 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.