What will Trump say this week? (November 2 - November 8)
Live
- $10.9K
- $11.9K
- 15
- $359.58
- $415.45
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Voter Fraud90.0%
- Rigged Election72.5%
- Brazil52.5%
- Corrupt Elections51.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
8 open · 6 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 90.0 %
Voter Fraud
$20.14 traded, 24 h
Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢ - 72.5 %
Rigged Election
$72.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢ - 52.5 %
Brazil
$42.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢ - 51.0 %
Corrupt Elections
Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢ - 51.0 %
Paid Protester
Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢ - 50.5 %
Artificial
Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢ - 26.0 %
Weightlifter
Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢ - 23.5 %
Christmas
Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Series
- Trump Weekly Mentions · weekly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 8 open · 6 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 31
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 14,827 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 14 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
6 of the 14 have settled; Bibi, Zero, Veto, Bad Shape, God, Six Seven settled Yes.
It can settle from Nov 9, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 4, 2026 08:51 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.