What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)
Live
- $7.0K
- $9.0K
- 24
- $2.5K
- $413.32
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Mardi Gras71.0%
- Dad / Daddy62.0%
- Nobel54.0%
- Khomeini / Khamenei52.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 open · 6 settled · 1 with no priceChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Series
- Trump Weekly Mentions · weekly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 6 open · 6 settled · 1 with no price
- Fills, last 24 h
- 41
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 7,527 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 13 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
6 of the 13 have settled; Pilot, Waitress, Handsome, Swim / Swimming, Budget, Drill Baby Drill settled Yes.
It can settle from Oct 19, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 15, 2026 01:31 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.