What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)
Live
- $3.0K
- $4.6K
- 22
- $5.5K
- $3.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Dictionary90.0%
- Ammunition57.0%
- Complex51.0%
- Gay50.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
12 open · 2 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 90.0 %
Dictionary
$2.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢ - 57.0 %
Ammunition
$5.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢ - 51.0 %
Complex
$15.30 traded, 24 h
Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢ - 50.5 %
NFL
$24.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢ - 50.5 %
Too Late
$7.76 traded, 24 h
Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢ - 50.5 %
Gay
Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢ - 50.5 %
Kim Jong Un
Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢ - 50.0 %
Blowing it away
$10.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢ - 50.0 %
Plumber
Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢ - 48.5 %
Psychological / Psychologically
Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Series
- Trump Weekly Mentions · weekly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 12 open · 2 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 39
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 4,235 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This event has 14 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
2 of the 14 have settled; Secret Service, Eight Wars settled Yes.
It can settle from Oct 11, 2026 23:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 7, 2026 17:52 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.