Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Live
- $5.0K
- $826.4K
- 51
- $129.3K
- $595.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- China73.5%
- No meeting by December 3120.0%
- United States2.3%
- Gulf country0.6%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
15 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 15 open questions add up to 98.6¢.
- 73.5 %
China
$2.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢ - 20.0 %
No meeting by December 31
$678.86 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢ - 2.3 %
United States
$81.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢ - < 1 %
Gulf country
$178.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢ - < 1 %
Russia
$177.43 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Switzerland
$178.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Turkey
$175.23 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Other
$178.96 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Finland
$178.74 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Belarus
$178.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Ukraine & Russia
- Series
- Trump-Putin Meet where
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 15 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 147
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 22,275 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This event has 15 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 19:12 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.