Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Live
- $6.1K
- $39.4K
- 40
- $15.9K
- $27.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Denver, CO89.0%
- Las Vegas, NV81.5%
- New Orleans, LA21.0%
- Sacramento, CA17.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
19 open · 2 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 89.0 %
Denver, CO
$253.33 traded, 24 h
Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢ - 81.5 %
Las Vegas, NV
$540.81 traded, 24 h
Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢ - 21.0 %
New Orleans, LA
$265.38 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢ - 17.5 %
Sacramento, CA
$595.08 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 12.5 %
Philadelphia, PA
$459.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢ - 12.0 %
Detroit, MI
$124.78 traded, 24 h
Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢ - 10.5 %
St. Louis, MO
$161.59 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢ - 10.5 %
New York, NY
$161.04 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢ - 10.0 %
Charlotte, NC
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 9.0 %
Pittsburgh, PA
$231.18 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢
- 9.0 %
Seattle, WA
$198.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢ - 8.5 %
Chicago, IL
$35.69 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢ - 8.0 %
Minneapolis, MN
$210.96 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢ - 5.5 %
Washington, DC
$192.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.1 %
Boston, MA
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - 5.0 %
Portland, OR
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 4.4 %
Baltimore, MD
$55.34 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.4¢No 95.6¢ - 4.0 %
London, UK
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 3.3 %
Tokyo, Japan
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢
Event facts
- Category
- Tech · AI
- Series
- Waymo launch
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 19 open · 2 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 160
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,829 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 21 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
2 of the 21 have settled; San Diego, CA, Tampa, FL settled Yes.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 14, 2026 23:09 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.