Which mobs will eliminate Jynxzi, Ron or Los?
Live
- $18.2K
- $19.3K
- 57
- $6.0K
- $7.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Skeleton (again)100.0%
- Zombie100.0%
- Iron Golem99.5%
- Enderman94.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
21 open · 5 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
Zombie
$758.74 traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - > 99 %
Skeleton (again)
$347.96 traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - > 99 %
Iron Golem
$249.67 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - 94.0 %
Enderman
$345.27 traded, 24 h
Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢ - 80.5 %
Wither Skeleton
$593.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢ - 65.5 %
Blaze
$56.47 traded, 24 h
Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢ - 62.5 %
Piglin
$577.28 traded, 24 h
Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢ - 54.0 %
Pillager (again)
$174.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 54.0¢No 46.0¢ - 53.0 %
Ghast
$86.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢ - 53.0 %
Spider (again)
$38.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢
- 49.0 %
Polar Bear
$113.35 traded, 24 h
Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢ - 46.5 %
Phantom
$139.35 traded, 24 h
Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢ - 44.5 %
Ender Dragon
$387.84 traded, 24 h
Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢ - 39.5 %
Warden
$11.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢ - 33.5 %
Zombified Piglin
$255.63 traded, 24 h
Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢ - 27.5 %
Hoglin
$4.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢ - 26.5 %
Witch
$24.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢ - 26.5 %
Slime
$6.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢ - 24.0 %
Vex
Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢ - 7.0 %
Elder Guardian
$179.59 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 4.5 %
Wither
$232.09 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Gaming
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 21 open · 5 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 224
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 22,291 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on October 5, 2026, in which they will attempt to defeat the Ender Dragon in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, without any of the three dying in-game. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for any of Jynxzi, Ron, or Los following an in-game death during the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes." An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message. If a mob has been renamed, this market will resolve based on the actual mob type that caused the in-game death rather than the name displayed in the death message. A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count. Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by any of the three players. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death. Only in-game deaths of the three accounts played by Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos will count. In-game deaths of any other player in the world, including guests, moderators, or co-streamers playing on their own accounts, will not count. It does not matter who is physically at the controls when an in-game death occurs; only whose account died in-game. Deaths in any Minecraft world played as part of the marathon will count, including restarts on new seeds, and including if Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos modify or abandon the objectives of the challenge, change the ruleset, or play outside of Hardcore mode at any point. Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the three players is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. This market will remain open until the marathon is declared complete, abandoned, or otherwise finally ended by Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, or Los Pollos, regardless of whether the challenge is completed. If the marathon ends without a qualifying in-game death, or if the marathon is cancelled or never begins, this market will resolve to "No". If the marathon is still ongoing as of November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on in-game deaths that have occurred up to that time." The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the marathon on Jynxzi's, StableRonaldo's, and Los Pollos's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.
This event has 26 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
5 of the 26 have settled; Creeper, Skeleton, Spider, Pillager, Creeper (again) settled Yes.
The result is checked against twitch.tv. Open the source
It can settle from Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 6, 2026 04:21 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.