Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $14.0K
- $27.9K
- 89
- $22.5K
- $79.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Ra'am99.0%
- RZP-Zehut97.8%
- Reservists and New Economic Party14.0%
- Amcha Yisrael3.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
5 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- World · Global elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 5 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 291
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 26,554 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This event has 5 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 27, 2026 23:59 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 28, 2026 01:36 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.