Which party will win white voters in the midterms?
Live
- $8.0K
- $21.6K
- 40
- $11.2K
- $95.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 2 questions with the highest chance now.
- Republicans94.0%
- Democrats5.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
2 open · 4 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 2 open · 4 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 63
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 10,666 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This event has 6 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Nov 6, 2026 23:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 02:30 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.