Skip to content
●Polyrank
Politics · US electionsPolling

Which party will win white voters in the midterms?

Live

$8.0K
$21.6K
40
$11.2K
$95.4K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 2 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Republicans94.0%
  • Democrats5.0%
Loading the event chart…

Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

2 open · 4 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

Sort

Event facts

Category
Politics · US elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
Varies by question
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
2 open · 4 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
63
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
10,666 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

Who is trading this event

See who is trading this event

The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

Create account to unlock

Who is trading this event

Loading who is trading this event…

How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This event has 6 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Nov 6, 2026 23:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 02:30 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.