Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Live
- $17.4K
- $620.7K
- 56
- $247.9K
- $944.3K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Rahm Emanuel38.8%
- Andy Beshear31.4%
- Raphael Warnock29.0%
- Pete Buttigieg18.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
71 open · 1 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 38.8 %
Rahm Emanuel
$15.31 traded, 24 h
Yes 38.8¢No 61.2¢ - 31.4 %
Andy Beshear
$26.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 31.4¢No 68.6¢ - 29.0 %
Raphael Warnock
$22.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 29.0¢No 71.0¢ - 18.1 %
Pete Buttigieg
Yes 18.1¢No 81.9¢ - 15.5 %
Phil Murphy
Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢ - 13.6 %
Tulsi Gabbard
$102.32 traded, 24 h
Yes 13.6¢No 86.4¢ - 9.7 %
Mark Kelly
Yes 9.7¢No 90.3¢ - 9.0 %
Steve Bannon
$200.08 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢ - 8.5 %
Gavin Newsom
$2.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢ - 7.5 %
Glenn Youngkin
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢
- 7.3 %
Ron DeSantis
$247.51 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.3¢No 92.7¢ - 7.0 %
Don Lemon
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 6.6 %
Ted Cruz
$0.34 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.6¢No 93.4¢ - 6.5 %
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$609.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 6.0 %
Rand Paul
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 5.9 %
Elise Stefanik
Yes 5.9¢No 94.1¢ - 5.9 %
Gina Raimondo
Yes 5.9¢No 94.1¢ - 5.5 %
Josh Shapiro
$18.19 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.5 %
Brian Kemp
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.5 %
Josh Hawley
$46.70 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.5 %
Nikki Haley
$7.56 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.0 %
Jon Stewart
$64.04 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 5.0 %
Hunter Biden
$4.66 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 4.7 %
Tim Walz
Yes 4.7¢No 95.3¢ - 4.5 %
Chelsea Clinton
$21.53 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
John Thune
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Marco Rubio
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
George Clooney
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$266.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.3 %
John Fetterman
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.3 %
MrBeast
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.3 %
Andrew Yang
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.2 %
Tucker Carlson
Yes 4.2¢No 95.8¢ - 4.1 %
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Yes 4.1¢No 95.9¢ - 4.1 %
Tom Brady
Yes 4.1¢No 95.9¢ - 4.0 %
Greg Abbott
$99.49 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 4.0 %
Erika Kirk
$3.30 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 3.9 %
Cory Booker
$389.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.9¢No 96.1¢ - 3.8 %
Vivek Ramaswamy
$135.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢ - 3.8 %
Donald Trump Jr.
Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢ - 3.8 %
J.D. Vance
Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢ - 3.6 %
Candace Owens
Yes 3.6¢No 96.4¢ - 3.5 %
Gretchen Whitmer
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.5 %
Matt Gaetz
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.5 %
J.B. Pritzker
$476.49 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.3 %
Wes Moore
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢ - 3.2 %
Kristi Noem
Yes 3.2¢No 96.8¢ - 3.1 %
Ivanka Trump
$1.23 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢ - 3.1 %
Hillary Clinton
Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢ - 3.0 %
Beto O’Rourke
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢ - 2.9 %
Kamala Harris
$68.32 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.9¢No 97.1¢ - 2.9 %
Donald Trump
$9.97 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.9¢No 97.1¢ - 2.8 %
Jon Ossoff
$7.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢ - 2.6 %
Byron Donalds
Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢ - 2.6 %
Liz Cheney
Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢ - 2.4 %
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
Yes 2.4¢No 97.6¢ - 2.3 %
Elon Musk
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢ - 2.3 %
Stephen A. Smith
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢ - 2.2 %
Katie Britt
Yes 2.2¢No 97.8¢ - 2.2 %
LeBron James
Yes 2.2¢No 97.8¢ - 2.1 %
Mike Pence
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - 2.1 %
Oprah Winfrey
$16.30 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - 2.1 %
Bernie Sanders
$238.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - 1.8 %
Michelle Obama
$540.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢ - 1.7 %
Jared Polis
Yes 1.7¢No 98.3¢ - 1.6 %
Zohran Mamdani
$3.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢ - 1.6 %
Barack Obama
$216.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢ - 1.4 %
Roy Cooper
Yes 1.4¢No 98.6¢ - 1.4 %
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Yes 1.4¢No 98.6¢ - 1.3 %
Mark Cuban
Yes 1.3¢No 98.7¢ - 1.1 %
Kim Kardashian
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢
1 more that never traded
Event facts
- Category
- Politics
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 71 open · 1 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 194
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 22,877 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 72 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 4, 2026 10:28 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.