Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Live
- $4.6K
- $74.7K
- 49
- $37.3K
- $929.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Andy Beshear89.8%
- J.B. Pritzker89.0%
- Pete Buttigieg82.0%
- Ted Cruz76.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
71 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 89.8 %
Andy Beshear
$85.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 89.8¢No 10.2¢ - 89.0 %
J.B. Pritzker
$420.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢ - 82.0 %
Pete Buttigieg
$196.53 traded, 24 h
Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢ - 76.0 %
Ted Cruz
$36.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 76.0¢No 24.0¢ - 75.5 %
Ron DeSantis
$518.17 traded, 24 h
Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢ - 75.5 %
Josh Shapiro
$27.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢ - 75.0 %
Gavin Newsom
$169.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 75.0¢No 25.0¢ - 73.5 %
Raphael Warnock
Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢ - 72.0 %
Rahm Emanuel
$103.84 traded, 24 h
Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢ - 71.4 %
J.D. Vance
$993.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 71.4¢No 28.6¢
- 65.0 %
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$24.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢ - 63.0 %
Rand Paul
Yes 63.0¢No 37.0¢ - 60.5 %
Mark Kelly
$5.49 traded, 24 h
Yes 60.5¢No 39.5¢ - 55.5 %
Wes Moore
$105.18 traded, 24 h
Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢ - 54.0 %
Cory Booker
Yes 54.0¢No 46.0¢ - 52.0 %
Kamala Harris
$42.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢ - 51.5 %
Jon Ossoff
$146.76 traded, 24 h
Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢ - 47.0 %
Andrew Yang
$10.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 47.0¢No 53.0¢ - 45.5 %
Brian Kemp
Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢ - 37.5 %
Marco Rubio
$1.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢ - 37.5 %
Jared Polis
Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢ - 33.5 %
Glenn Youngkin
$1.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢ - 33.5 %
Gina Raimondo
Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢ - 31.5 %
Gretchen Whitmer
Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢ - 30.5 %
Phil Murphy
$12.17 traded, 24 h
Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢ - 29.5 %
Hunter Biden
$35.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢ - 29.5 %
Josh Hawley
Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢ - 27.5 %
Mark Cuban
$4.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢ - 25.5 %
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢ - 25.0 %
John Fetterman
$101.70 traded, 24 h
Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢ - 24.5 %
Katie Britt
$1.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢ - 24.5 %
Nikki Haley
Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢ - 23.5 %
Steve Bannon
$151.72 traded, 24 h
Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢ - 23.5 %
Don Lemon
Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢ - 23.5 %
Elise Stefanik
Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢ - 23.5 %
Greg Abbott
Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢ - 23.0 %
Byron Donalds
Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢ - 23.0 %
Vivek Ramaswamy
Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢ - 21.5 %
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢ - 20.5 %
Roy Cooper
Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢ - 20.0 %
Tulsi Gabbard
Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢ - 19.0 %
Stephen A. Smith
Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢ - 17.5 %
Donald Trump Jr.
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 17.5 %
Tucker Carlson
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 17.0 %
Candace Owens
Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢ - 17.0 %
Kristi Noem
Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢ - 16.0 %
Jon Stewart
Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢ - 16.0 %
Mike Pence
Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢ - 15.5 %
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$10.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢ - 15.5 %
John Thune
Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢ - 14.5 %
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢ - 14.0 %
Liz Cheney
Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢ - 14.0 %
Matt Gaetz
Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢ - 13.0 %
Michelle Obama
Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢ - 12.7 %
George Clooney
Yes 12.7¢No 87.3¢ - 12.5 %
Elon Musk
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢ - 12.5 %
Oprah Winfrey
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢ - 12.0 %
Donald Trump
Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢ - 11.5 %
Bernie Sanders
Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢ - 11.5 %
Beto O’Rourke
Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢ - 11.5 %
Kim Kardashian
Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢ - 11.0 %
Tom Brady
Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢ - 10.7 %
Chelsea Clinton
Yes 10.7¢No 89.3¢ - 10.4 %
LeBron James
Yes 10.4¢No 89.6¢ - 10.0 %
Zohran Mamdani
$379.51 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 8.2 %
Ivanka Trump
Yes 8.2¢No 91.8¢ - 8.1 %
Tim Walz
Yes 8.1¢No 91.9¢ - 7.5 %
MrBeast
Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢ - 7.0 %
Erika Kirk
$0.29 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 3.8 %
Hillary Clinton
Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢ - 2.3 %
Barack Obama
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 71 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 143
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,640 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 71 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 08:40 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.